Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. Labor will be desperate to hang on to its own newly-acquired seats, and presumably also very keen to protect and help the Independents as well. Florida 2022 elections. Melbourne has experienced much growth in the quality of life, business opportunities and the arts. 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. The two occasions give all candidates a chance to explain their policies and properly address the questions asked by the moderators and audience members. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. Melbourne Ports was won in 1906 by Labor candidates James Mathews. I will work diligently with the council and various boards to direct and focus attention to these significant concerns. For more information, see ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). I am not saying the results will be repeated in 2025 for Josh Burns a Dutton led Liberal party will underperform the state Libs which moved back to the centre on climate. In 3CP terms, it means Dec Prepolls are breaking 33.1% LIB, 30.6% ALP, 36.3% GRN. To put it simply, the AEC 3CP preference throw, which is now complete for all ballots counted so far, currently has Labor 50 votes behind the Liberals and 495 ahead of the Greens in the 3PP race. He has lived and worked in inner Melbourne for most of his life. Support local journalism. [1] It also had a large gay and lesbian community. But its certainly possible. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. Here is a rundown of the candidates, based on answers to questionnaires from FLORIDA TODAY. On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. Damches has a bachelor's degree in International Relations and worked in retail and fashion before working as a legal assistant. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. . The Liberals are still 3rd on the primary vote, so unless they can improve on absentees,postals,provisionals then they will remain 3rd. The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed $242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. Occupation: Founder and owner of Plastics & Paper Direct, Education: Attended Brevard Community College, Political/government/civic experience:2003-04 Melbourne Zoning Board of Adjustment;2004-05 Melbourne Airport Authority;Space Coast League of Cities representative to Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization;2004-12 Melbourne Council Member District2 (vice mayor in 2006 and2010);2013 Brevard CountyCitizens Advisory Board;2018-22 Melbourne City Council Member District 2, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: Website under construction. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. Please enable scripts and reload this page. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. ALP got 31.8% of the primary vote but 62.3% of the 2PP. The Greens are only 495 votes behind Labor in the 3CP count. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. Michael Organ had previously won Cunningham for the Greens in 2002, but this was at a by-election. Canadian airline coming: Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, New police headquarters: Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Occupation:Realtor, private investigator, process server, notary, Education:Course study of sociology, with a concentration in forensic psychology, at Massachusetts College of Liberal Arts, Political/government/civic experience:911 dispatcher; Space Coast Young Republicans; NAACP Legal Redress Team; attends Melbourne Police Community Relations Council meetings; 18th District process server, Campaign email:rachael4melbourne@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:rachael4melbourne.com;Facebook: Rachael Bassett for Melbourne City Council. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. There are 4,658 envelopes waiting to processed, only 200 of them are postals, they are late arriving postals which I guess will favour Greens or break even. As our community continues its development, it is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth. Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. The Division of Melbourne Ports is located to the south of Melbourne's central business district. Contents 1 Members 2 Election results 2.1 Elections in the 2010s 2.2 Elections in the 2000s At first glance that looks like Labor would outperform the Liberals right? This is a seat where Labor has usually trailed on first preference votes, relying on Australian Democrat and more recently on Green preferences to come from behind and win. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. When comparing Greens and Labor. Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Do automatic recounts apply to 3CP counts? AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Schultz is an Elwood local and long been a passionate advocate for social and environmental change and is campaigning for change to agricultural practices, for both animal protection and to combat the effects of climate change. Liberal 33.67% (31,327) 2. The top issue is cleaning up the Indian River Lagoon. Simon's brother David also served as Treasurer of Tasmania in the 1990s. Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. Venue: Assembly Hall,Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. Full distribution of preferences was just released in a zip file according to Poll Bludger, I downloaded it and had a look then. A list of profiles for Candidates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022 A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. Dont get me wrong. 2018 State Election: A Meet the Candidates for the lower house seat of Albert Park was held at 6pm, on Tuesday, 30th October in the Boyd Community Hub. Votante, re: Labor possibly having a record difference between their primary vote and 2PP vote, I think that ties into another likely record that this race will set, and thats the smallest margin between all 3 parties in a 3CP count. Mandy Nolan Candidate for Richmond Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. On paper the final boundaries have minimal impact on Labor's margin, nudging it down a percentage from 6.2% to 4.9%. The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. Live scores Keep across all the live scores and results from the Australian Open at Melbourne Park Melbourne - Federal Election 2022 Share 86.9 % turnout, final figures GRN retain Adam Bandt elected 12.4% swing from GRN Preference count Labor Party Keir Paterson 39.8% 38,456 Greens Adam Bandt MP 60.2% 58,050 50% Labor 32.94% 2. And silver medals can be distr oh wait. This model has been successfully used in other communities across the country. I project the following based on whats left to count: LIB 33.5% ALP Just over 33.3% GRN Just under 33.2%. Changes at outdoor shop: Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Occupation:Assistant principal,Brevard Public Schools, Education:Bachelors degree in psychology and elementary education; master's degree in educational leadership, Political/government/civic experience:Elected to Melbourne City Council in November 2018; member of the Space Coast League of Cities board of directors; treasurer of the Space Coast League of Cities; appointed vice mayor in November 2021, Campaign email:reelectjsanders2022@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:sanders4mlbcouncil.com; Facebook: Reelect Julie Sanders 2022;Instagram: Juliesanders2873. Had the 2013 election's 66% flow of Liberal preferences to Labor occurred in 2010, then Adam Bandt would not have won Melbourne. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. Amazing result from Steph Hodgins-May and even if she doesnt win, hopefully it will energize her to try a 4th time. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general electionballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. The Melbourne City Council includes a mayor, a vice mayor and five council members. After the exclusion of several minor party candidates with 7.3% between them, the three-candidate count had become Liberal 43.7%, Labor 28.7% to Greens 27.6%. Current preference flow: LIB 47%, GRN 35.4%, ALP 17.6%. Labor 33.48% (31,149) 3. The only seat that is in-doubt in my mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal. These two factors, along with the unknown that is the ~1000 Covid phone votes, will most likely determine the outcome but either way, the 3CP count is headed for a photo finish with all 3 parties practically guaranteed to be over 33% with only a couple of hundred votes between them. Dr Richard Peppard is a senior neurologist at St Vincent's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and in regional Victoria. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. Libs to get Higgins back and Greens to make Macnamara notionally Green. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. The logical approach to me at face value would be to consolidate the 4 Labor seats of Chisholm, Hotham, Isaacs and Bruce into 3, but Im sure they wont want to do that. Demographics (2019 boundaries): Median weekly household income: $1,866 (Australia $1,438) People over 65: 12.2% (Australia 15.8%) Australian born: 54.5% (Australia 66.7%) Ancestry: Chinese 5.6% Use tab to navigate through the menu items. Deakin is also Liberal, the trends are helping Sukkar there on postals. Id be interested in seeing the final preference flows. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. The LIB/ALP 2PP here will be Labors best since before Caulfield was in the seat and the Lib PV may be the lowest in 5-6 decades. Daniel, Poll Bludger hasnt called the seat. This campaigns main areas of focus are in keeping the city government of Melbourne accountable, maintaining the city of Melbourne's reputable business-friendly laws and ensuring lagoon-friendly policies for our residents. Eg. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. Mauger was re-elected in 1903 but in 1906 moved to the new seat of Maribyrnong, which he held until his defeat in 1910. Liberal 30.69% 4. The exclusion of the Green then elected Michael Danby with 51.4% of the two-party preferred vote. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. First Preference Results 1983-2019 They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . Another phenomenal result for the Greens. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. During this period it was held by only five members, all men, most notably Jack Holloway, a minister who served under John Curtin and Ben Chifley; Frank Crean, Treasurer and then Deputy Prime Minister in the Whitlam Government; and Clyde Holding, a minister in the Hawke Government who prior to switching to federal politics had served as Victorian Opposition Leader from 1967 to 1977. The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. . The Green line plots the Green two-candidate preferred vote against Labor 2007-2013 and against the Liberal Party in 2016 and 2019. This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. Cruise ship schedule 2022-23. So the Liberals have no catching up to do to stay in the top two, because theyre already first by 50 votes. LIB 29,202 2. My last 3CP calculation had the Greens 422 preferences ahead of Labour at the final 3CP count in Macnamara. After originally being won by the Protectionist party, it has been held by the ALP consistently since 1906, although it has rarely been held by large margins. The former Labor members are Jim Matthews 1906-1931, E.J.Holloway 1931-1951, Frank Crean 1951-1977, Clyde Holding 1977-1998 and Michael Danby 1998-2019. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Harkin undertook secondary schooling was at Presentation College, Windsor, where she was an avid debater and State finals speaker). First Preference Results 1983-2019, The Labor lean of Melbourne Ports/Macnamara has declined at recent elections, but as discussed above, the three-way nature of the contest means the after preferences count is the secondary hurdle Labor must clear to win. City Hall topics in recent months have included proposed downtown mixed-use developments, ongoing development in the city's Eau Gallie area and lack of affordable housing, among other issues. Where possible, the natural flow and filtering of runoff must be restored. LIB 30,636 2. The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40 km 2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay . However, its ridiculous to say that the Libs will come third if they dont improve, when they are currently first on the 3CP and all the current batches of votes are tracking to improve their lead. Labor's results ranged from 41.1% at Caulfield Presbyterian Church to 78.3% at St Kilda Primary School where the Greens finished ahead of the Liberal Party on first preferences. This made Adam Bandt the first Green to win a seat in the House of Representatives at a general election. Phil, the AEC have already done a 3CP count for all the ballots currently counted, and published it. What they care about is what matters to me. Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. Stragan is an award-winning accountant, born in Melbourne to Ukrainian parents. Four incumbents Mayor Paul Alfrey,District 1 Council Member Tim Thomas,District 3 Council Member Yvonne Minus andDistrict 5 Council Member Mimi Hanley are not on the ballot this fall. What are the top two to three issues in West Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? Stephen Mayne will be the moderator. Crean served as Treasurer for the first two years of the Whitlam government, but was pushed aside in late 1974 in the midst of difficult economic times, and moved to the Trade portfolio. Results prior to 2019 were under the electorate's former name of Melbourne Ports.). In 2018, the Australian Electoral Commission proposed renaming Melbourne Ports as Macnamara, after medical scientist Dame Jean Macnamara. Long post I know, but in short the Liberals are already ahead of Labor on 3CP terms, and if vote continue to break exactly as they have been, they grow their lead while the Greens continue to catch up. Macnamara covers the port and bayside suburbs of Melbourne south of the Yarra, as well as suburbs to the south-east beyond Punt Road between Dandenong and Glen Huntly Roads. At Michael Danby's last election in 2016, the Liberals polled 41.9% on first preferences to Labor 27.0% and the Greens 23.8%. Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. She recently resigned from the office of Senator Hon Jane Hume. Support local journalism. The departure of Danby in 2019 saw a boost in Labor vote, though whether this was a coincidence with of consequence of Danby's departure is impossible to say. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? Theres an estimated 6500 ballots left to count, and if they continue to break the same way they currently are, and Covid votes also favour the Greens, they will be on track to erase that deficit, while the strong preference flow to the Libs also keeps them ahead of Labor, dropping Labor to third place. Labour need only finish in final two run-off. Education: University of Akron/Chancellor University, Political/government/civic experience: 30 years of public service, including four years with the City Council in West Melbourne. ALP 30,499 3. 100% agree. If all the remaining votes, using Kevin Bonhams expectation of 1750 postal votes, break exactly as they currently are, I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount. This may be due to Melbourne having a sitting Green MP in Adam Bandt, or be related to Labor pulling out of campaigning after disendorsing its candidate. The Greens would have got 32% in May but only got 20% of November. Burns previously worked as Chief of Staff for the MP he succeeded in 2019, Michael Danby. ABC has given Labor Macnamara and hence get a majority of 76 seats. At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. Melbourne:2022 elections: Meet the six candidates running for three Melbourne City Council seats; Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). He represented construction workers before the Cole Building Industry Royal Commission, represented unions and workers during the Ansett insolvency, and states that he was involved in prosecuting some of Australia's biggest clothing companies for breaches of laws designed to prevent the exploitation of outworkers. It includes vmost of the City of Melbourne north of the Yarra, almost all of the City of Yarra, and a small slice of Moreland Council. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. Listing of Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Notices to Mariners for the current calendar year and those in force at 1 January of the current year. [ edit] Primary vote results in Melbourne (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted) Liberal Labor Australian Democrats Greens Reason Two-candidate-preferred results in Melbourne References [ edit] He has a background in tourism and understands the economic importance of protecting Australia's most important natural assets. Shifts east losing Kensington to Maribyrnong in the west while gaining Clifton Hill from Cooper in the east, and a part of Brunswick East from Wills. The top two issues in the community I represent are affordable housing and homeless social issues. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. Crean was replaced by Clyde Holding, who had served as Leader of the Victorian Labor Party from 1967 until 1976. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner. Melbourne Ports had been a tight three-way contest in 2016, Labor's Michael Danby staying narrowly ahead of the Greens to eventually win a narrow victory over the Liberals on Green preferences. But damn Id be nervous if I was them with the way each batch of votes has been breaking. He has worked as a computer systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise. If anything, I would be extremely worried if I was Josh Burns. Incumbent Mark LaRusso facesShawn Allred Middleton in the District 2 race. Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. The last batch of postal votes broke 26.7% LIB, 28.5% ALP, 33.2% GRN, 11.6% Other. William Bowe explains in his latest blog (from after yesterdays counting finished) that his results system is incorrectly calling it due to its inability to think in three-party terms. Danby, MP for Melbourne Ports since 1998, . Labors primary votes in all three of these electorates went backwards which should set Red flags in Labor HQ. Its a nailbiter and is shaping up for all 3 to be over 33% in the 3PP count (would that be the closest 3PP count ever? Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. i would part of the story here is that the Libs overperfomed in Elite areas such as Albert Park compared to May. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. Melbourne Ports was held by the Australian Labor Party from 1906 until 2019, when it was renamed. The successful candidates were: Canal Ward Tim Baxter (Deputy Mayor) Rhonda Clark Louise Crawford Gateway Ward Heather Cunsolo Peter Martin Marcus Pearl (Mayor) Lake Ward Andrew Bond Katherine Copsey Christina Sirakoff Election results in Macnamara at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, Labor and the Greens. 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